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Red58
59866.6
94483.1
635722.2
Blue114
636963.6
861010.6
72719.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289605015058114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+54
Endgame+64
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
3Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +34
4Coral scored#12
15Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
23Total teleop57
Reef
1L4#7
2L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
26Foul points18
58Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6357
#23
22.20.8
19.819.0
Auto3.4
Teleop16.9
End1.9
blue by 41.4
63.61.8
59.661.4
Auto15.0
Teleop39.3
End9.3
Second
5986
#25
6.60.8
8.77.9
Auto4.0
Teleop-0.8
End3.3
blue by 4.0
8610
#29
10.61.8
10.212.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End1.3
Third
9448
#41
3.10.8
3.93.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.9
End2.3
blue by 5.9
7271
#35
9.01.8
5.77.5
Auto0.9
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
10%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned