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Red174
857650.8
14869.9
258739.4
Blue154
949257.5
464142.6
874958.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139141110120130150160170180174154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+36Teleop
+24Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave9
3Coral scored#6
14Coral points28
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +50
25Coral scored#17
91Coral points61
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#5
18Processor points6
28Net points20
46Algae points26
137Total teleop87
Reef
10L4#7
8L3#8
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points4
174Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#2
69.92.3
63.966.2
Auto12.7
Teleop49.1
End8.1
red by 11.0
58.80.5
44.044.4
Auto14.3
Teleop34.7
End9.8
Second
8576
#20
50.82.3
31.033.3
Auto4.7
Teleop38.4
End7.7
blue by 6.7
9492
#16
57.50.5
50.150.6
Auto13.1
Teleop36.6
End7.8
Third
2587
#29
39.42.3
33.035.3
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End3.1
blue by 3.2
4641
#27
42.60.5
37.738.2
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned