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Red76
541728.3
415331.8
41859.7
Blue78
873217.1
1051816.6
373538.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1035602040801201401607678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +24
7Coral scored#12
24Coral points42
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
32Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#8
3L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
2Foul points2
76Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#22
59.71.1
50.349.2
Auto14.8
Teleop35.9
End9.1
red by 21.1
3735
#25
38.61.2
31.232.4
Auto8.6
Teleop28.4
End1.7
Second
4153
#21
31.81.1
23.121.9
Auto4.9
Teleop18.9
End7.9
red by 14.7
8732
#40
17.11.2
18.619.8
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End1.2
Third
5417
#44
28.31.1
17.516.4
Auto3.4
Teleop21.4
End3.5
red by 11.7
16.61.2
8.49.6
Auto2.9
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed