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Red139
541448.7
271462.7
808843.9
Blue126
62461.8
461029.4
526130.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1458450100200139126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points21
34Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +6
18Coral scored#16
65Coral points59
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
18Processor points18
16Net points16
34Algae points34
99Total teleop93
Reef
6L4#6
8L3#8
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
139Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.70.4
55.956.3
Auto13.6
Teleop41.9
End7.1
red by 0.9
624
#17
61.82.4
40.242.6
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End5.4
Second
5414
#15
48.70.4
34.835.2
Auto9.9
Teleop35.8
End2.9
red by 18.5
5261
#39
30.12.4
19.421.8
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End0.8
Third
8088
#30
43.90.4
36.537.0
Auto3.8
Teleop36.5
End3.6
red by 14.6
4610
#43
29.42.4
24.627.0
Auto4.0
Teleop23.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed