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Red163
415331.8
129656.7
857650.8
Blue136
731234.4
215825.1
541448.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1179850150200163136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+5Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
23Coral scored#23
83Coral points81
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
121Total teleop109
Reef
6L4#10
7L3#11
9L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#34
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
163Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#13
56.74.0
44.148.0
Auto5.1
Teleop43.3
End8.3
red by 8.1
5414
#15
48.72.9
36.339.2
Auto9.9
Teleop35.8
End2.9
Second
8576
#20
50.84.0
36.540.4
Auto4.7
Teleop38.4
End7.7
red by 16.4
7312
#28
34.42.9
31.834.8
Auto5.4
Teleop26.7
End2.2
Third
4153
#21
31.84.0
23.027.0
Auto4.9
Teleop18.9
End7.9
red by 6.7
2158
#42
25.12.9
23.726.7
Auto5.5
Teleop19.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed