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Red176
582930.9
118107.9
913735.7
Blue103
510327.8
541728.3
23154.1
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1909250150250300176103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+63Teleop
+63Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +45
21Coral scored#20
76Coral points71
5Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
30Processor points6
24Net points8
54Algae points14
130Total teleop85
Reef
11L4#8
7L3#7
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
12Foul points2
176Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
107.90.9
105.3104.4
Auto24.2
Teleop71.9
End11.8
red by 53.8
231
#6
54.10.3
49.749.5
Auto7.7
Teleop36.6
End9.8
Second
9137
#31
35.70.9
29.828.9
Auto6.3
Teleop26.3
End3.1
red by 7.4
5417
#44
28.30.3
17.317.0
Auto3.4
Teleop21.4
End3.5
Third
5829
#18
30.90.9
27.927.1
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End2.7
red by 3.0
5103
#34
27.80.3
24.524.2
Auto3.4
Teleop22.0
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed