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Red147
542743.5
62461.8
857320.1
Blue138
258739.4
667252.0
808843.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10313250150200147138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+9Teleop
Endgame+3
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points10
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +1
18Coral scored#16
63Coral points58
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#5
12Processor points18
20Net points20
32Algae points38
95Total teleop96
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#7
8L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
12Foul points0
147Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#17
61.82.6
47.149.7
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End5.4
red by 9.8
6672
#14
52.01.4
39.841.3
Auto13.5
Teleop34.1
End4.3
Second
5427
#23
43.52.6
38.841.4
Auto7.6
Teleop31.3
End4.6
blue by 0.4
8088
#30
43.91.4
39.240.6
Auto3.8
Teleop36.5
End3.6
Third
8573
#36
20.12.6
9.712.3
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End3.4
blue by 19.3
2587
#29
39.41.4
37.338.7
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned