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Red102
373538.6
436419.9
41859.7
Blue97
526130.1
951513.9
303548.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118835010015020010297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points14
37Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +16
11Coral scored#16
39Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
57Total teleop73
Reef
9L4#7
4L3#6
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
2Foul points0
102Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#22
59.70.5
52.251.7
Auto14.8
Teleop35.9
End9.1
red by 11.5
3035
#12
48.21.1
41.142.2
Auto8.3
Teleop36.9
End3.0
Second
3735
#25
38.60.5
34.834.3
Auto8.6
Teleop28.4
End1.7
red by 8.5
5261
#39
30.11.1
23.424.5
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End0.8
Third
4364
#35
19.90.5
18.117.5
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End1.2
red by 5.9
9515
#45
13.91.1
13.914.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed