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Red190
118107.9
258247.3
857320.1
Blue123
461029.4
949257.5
415331.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19111950100150250190123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+67Teleop
+67Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave6
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points17
36Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +54
28Coral scored#13
100Coral points46
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
18Processor points6
12Net points24
30Algae points30
130Total teleop76
Reef
12L4#6
11L3#6
6L2#2
6L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points0
190Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
107.90.9
103.5104.4
Auto24.2
Teleop71.9
End11.8
red by 50.3
9492
#16
57.50.0
55.355.2
Auto13.1
Teleop36.6
End7.8
Second
2582
#19
47.30.9
46.147.0
Auto6.7
Teleop33.5
End7.1
red by 15.5
4153
#21
31.80.0
31.331.2
Auto4.9
Teleop18.9
End7.9
Third
8573
#36
20.10.9
15.616.5
Auto3.5
Teleop13.1
End3.4
blue by 9.3
4610
#43
29.40.0
25.725.7
Auto4.0
Teleop23.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
96%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned