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Red107
526130.1
436419.9
543143.9
Blue135
419238.9
473444.8
62461.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8815150100200250107135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+24
Endgame+26
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points23
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +20
15Coral scored#24
54Coral points88
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
86Total teleop106
Reef
6L4#11
6L3#6
3L2#9
4L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points2
107Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#26
43.90.9
40.041.0
Auto6.1
Teleop35.1
End2.7
blue by 17.9
624
#17
61.80.6
54.053.4
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End5.4
Second
5261
#39
30.10.9
24.825.7
Auto4.9
Teleop24.5
End0.8
blue by 14.6
4734
#24
44.80.6
40.940.3
Auto8.2
Teleop32.7
End3.8
Third
4364
#35
19.90.9
16.917.9
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End1.2
blue by 19.0
4192
#38
38.90.6
36.535.9
Auto8.0
Teleop29.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed