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Red163
129656.7
268946.4
541448.7
Blue159
582930.9
874958.8
541728.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173114100150200250163159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+24Teleop
+14Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points34
22Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +39
25Coral scored#16
91Coral points56
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
12Processor points12
24Net points20
36Algae points32
127Total teleop88
Reef
10L4#5
6L3#7
6L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points10
163Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
#13
56.70.2
53.153.3
Auto5.1
Teleop43.3
End8.3
blue by 2.1
58.82.2
51.353.5
Auto14.3
Teleop34.7
End9.8
Second
5414
#15
48.70.2
45.345.4
Auto9.9
Teleop35.8
End2.9
red by 17.8
5829
#18
30.92.2
28.731.0
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End2.7
Third
2689
#10
46.40.2
47.147.3
Auto7.8
Teleop28.7
End9.9
red by 18.0
5417
#44
28.32.2
22.424.6
Auto3.4
Teleop21.4
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned