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Red255
300592.0
635748.1
680089.8
Blue185
557263.3
246862.4
637741.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252175100150200300350255185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+60Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
9Coral scored#5
44Coral points24
44Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +46
29Coral scored#21
105Coral points77
5Processor algae#4
10Net algae#7
30Processor points24
40Net points28
70Algae points52
175Total teleop129
Reef
10L4#7
14L3#6
9L2#9
5L1 · trough#4
53Game pieces#37
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
255Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.00.4
91.091.4
Auto20.3
Teleop61.9
End9.7
red by 28.7
63.30.2
62.762.8
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End10.3
Second
89.80.4
88.989.2
Auto21.5
Teleop55.4
End12.9
red by 27.4
62.40.2
61.862.0
Auto6.1
Teleop48.2
End8.1
Third
6357
#14
48.10.4
47.147.5
Auto7.1
Teleop34.6
End6.4
red by 6.5
6377
#27
41.60.2
41.041.2
Auto10.1
Teleop30.0
End1.4