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Red197
32453.1
712153.8
284852.7
Blue208
331062.0
914060.6
268743.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167170140150160180190200210197208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+21Teleop
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
9Coral scored#8
47Coral points41
47Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +21
29Coral scored#23
104Coral points83
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
18Processor points18
24Net points24
42Algae points42
146Total teleop125
Reef
15L4#11
8L3#7
9L2#9
6L1 · trough#4
47Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
197Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7121
#13
53.80.9
52.953.8
Auto16.0
Teleop36.4
End1.5
blue by 8.2
62.01.2
58.659.7
Auto13.8
Teleop38.6
End9.6
Second
324
#7
53.10.9
52.253.1
Auto7.1
Teleop39.4
End6.6
blue by 7.6
60.61.2
57.258.3
Auto8.8
Teleop46.1
End5.8
Third
2848
#16
52.70.9
51.852.7
Auto15.0
Teleop34.9
End2.8
red by 9.0
2687
#29
43.81.2
40.341.5
Auto6.9
Teleop28.7
End8.3