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Red211
557263.3
246862.4
637741.6
Blue235
331062.0
914060.6
268743.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184175100150200250300211235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+12
Fouls+24
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
10Coral scored#5
48Coral points27
48Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +20
20Coral scored#32
73Coral points115
5Processor algae#2
8Net algae#7
30Processor points12
32Net points28
62Algae points40
135Total teleop155
Reef
9L4#14
10L3#8
7L2#9
4L1 · trough#6
43Game pieces#46
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +24
2Foul points14
211Total score235

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.4
62.863.3
Auto17.0
Teleop36.0
End10.3
red by 1.3
62.00.9
59.760.6
Auto13.8
Teleop38.6
End9.6
Second
62.40.4
62.062.4
Auto6.1
Teleop48.2
End8.1
red by 1.8
60.60.9
58.359.2
Auto8.8
Teleop46.1
End5.8
Third
6377
#27
41.60.4
41.241.6
Auto10.1
Teleop30.0
End1.4
blue by 2.2
2687
#29
43.80.9
41.542.4
Auto6.9
Teleop28.7
End8.3