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Red249
804490.4
1001444.3
118104.8
Blue128
680079.6
941831.3
635759.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions255175100150200300350249128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+107Teleop
+127Endgame
+121Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
0Leave3
12Coral scored#3
58Coral points16
58Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +68
30Coral scored#21
109Coral points75
4Processor algae#1
8Net algae#4
24Processor points6
32Net points16
56Algae points22
165Total teleop97
Reef
15L4#10
10L3#5
10L2#6
7L1 · trough#3
54Game pieces#29
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +121
0Foul points6
249Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
104.80.3
103.9104.1
Auto21.6
Teleop72.6
End10.7
red by 25.2
79.61.1
80.779.5
Auto20.4
Teleop48.9
End10.3
Second
90.40.3
89.589.7
Auto19.1
Teleop59.6
End11.7
red by 30.9
6357
#12
59.51.1
60.659.4
Auto8.4
Teleop45.0
End6.1
Third
44.30.3
43.543.8
Auto9.9
Teleop27.3
End7.0
red by 13.0
9418
#19
31.31.1
32.431.2
Auto4.7
Teleop22.6
End4.0