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Red111
814413.1
951720.1
526119.5
Blue90
507014.6
459711.8
1001434.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516520408010012011190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+29
Endgame+29
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
9Coral scored#15
32Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
46Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
50Foul points0
111Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9517
#10
20.10.6
17.618.3
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End3.5
blue by 14.7
34.82.0
32.034.0
Auto6.6
Teleop26.5
End1.7
Second
19.50.6
16.417.1
Auto3.8
Teleop14.8
End0.9
red by 4.9
5070
#28
14.62.8
11.914.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.5
End2.5
Third
8144
#19
13.10.6
12.012.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.6
End1.9
red by 1.3
4597
#31
11.82.0
10.812.7
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed