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Red52
373523.9
258726.5
913725.9
Blue107
876928.3
284844.1
749244.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8512605010015020052107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+55
Endgame+55
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +44
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points50
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
0Processor points12
8Net points20
8Algae points32
38Total teleop82
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
6Foul points6
52Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#18
26.52.6
25.322.6
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End2.1
blue by 17.7
44.20.6
45.444.8
Auto9.8
Teleop32.9
End1.6
Second
9137
#26
25.92.6
31.328.7
Auto3.9
Teleop20.9
End1.0
blue by 18.2
2848
#35
44.10.6
41.941.3
Auto13.2
Teleop30.5
End0.5
Third
3735
#39
23.92.6
26.423.8
Auto6.0
Teleop16.6
End1.3
blue by 4.4
28.30.6
19.719.1
Auto4.1
Teleop20.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed