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Red20
837017.3
918124.7
147725.7
Blue48
742130.8
42957.1
40104.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1054101502002048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+30
Endgame+28
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +16
1Coral scored#4
5Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
5Total teleop21
Reef
0L4#2
1L3#3
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points0
20Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
#36
25.74.9
41.937.0
Auto4.6
Teleop18.9
End2.2
blue by 5.1
7421
#31
30.80.1
31.731.7
Auto8.0
Teleop20.3
End2.5
Second
9181
#34
24.74.9
30.225.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.6
End8.2
red by 17.6
4295
#33
7.10.1
6.86.8
Auto1.1
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Third
8370
#37
17.34.9
21.216.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0
red by 12.9
4010
#23
4.40.1
8.78.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed