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Red125
62461.0
999130.9
590821.9
Blue165
288151.7
118101.1
731228.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98207050150250300125165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+38
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points30
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +31
22Coral scored#25
78Coral points91
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
12Processor points18
8Net points20
20Algae points38
98Total teleop129
Reef
6L4#10
9L3#11
7L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
125Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#5
61.01.4
55.657.0
Auto13.0
Teleop44.0
End4.1
blue by 40.1
118
#1
101.10.5
98.598.0
Auto20.8
Teleop70.4
End9.9
Second
9991
#11
30.92.4
27.730.1
Auto6.0
Teleop22.2
End2.5
blue by 20.8
51.70.5
46.445.9
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End5.5
Third
5908
#32
21.91.4
20.321.7
Auto3.2
Teleop17.7
End1.0
blue by 6.4
7312
#20
28.30.5
28.027.5
Auto5.2
Teleop21.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned84%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsMissed