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Red109
458711.5
680081.2
542726.9
Blue87
624324.4
951223.0
635753.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12911005015020025010987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave6
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points16
30Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +8
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
59Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#6
7L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
6Foul points0
109Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.20.8
77.877.0
Auto20.4
Teleop49.3
End11.5
red by 27.9
53.31.2
55.654.4
Auto10.6
Teleop33.9
End8.7
Second
5427
#17
26.90.8
29.028.2
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End4.7
red by 2.4
6243
#28
24.41.2
27.426.2
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End2.3
Third
4587
#30
11.50.8
8.17.3
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End1.7
blue by 11.5
9512
#29
23.01.2
21.720.5
Auto4.2
Teleop17.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned