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Red54
541438.1
42957.1
999430.3
Blue85
817739.1
837017.3
749244.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810702003004005485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+31
Endgame+27
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +21
6Coral scored#10
23Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
33Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#17
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
2Foul points6
54Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#16
38.11.1
36.935.7
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End3.1
blue by 6.1
44.21.7
44.843.1
Auto9.8
Teleop32.9
End1.6
Second
9994
#21
30.31.8
22.320.5
Auto10.6
Teleop18.7
End0.8
blue by 8.7
8177
#12
39.11.7
40.138.4
Auto9.2
Teleop23.7
End6.2
Third
4295
#33
7.11.1
6.85.7
Auto1.1
Teleop4.6
End1.5
blue by 10.1
8370
#37
17.31.7
16.414.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed