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Red5
839211.3
61809.3
66458.8
Blue46
814412.2
62431.4
37284.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51660204080100120546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+25
Endgame+37
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points13
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
0Total teleop19
Reef
0L4#1
0L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points4
5Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8392
#14
11.34.6
13.28.6
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End0.5
blue by 20.0
624
#8
31.41.7
32.630.9
Auto7.6
Teleop19.3
End4.5
Second
6180
#19
9.34.6
14.19.5
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End2.4
blue by 3.0
8144
#13
12.21.7
17.215.5
Auto2.8
Teleop8.7
End0.7
Third
6645
#30DQ
8.84.6
18.814.2
Auto0.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
red by 4.9
3728
#33
4.01.7
7.35.7
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned