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Red115
817718.6
526112.7
11862.7
Blue64
66458.8
28827.7
1011826.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8937020608010012014011564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+47Teleop
+49Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +30
15Coral scored#8
54Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
74Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#2
6L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
2Foul points0
115Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
62.72.5
52.354.8
Auto14.8
Teleop39.5
End8.4
red by 36.4
26.40.8
21.722.5
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End7.6
Second
18.62.5
14.016.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End5.0
red by 9.7
6645
#30
8.80.8
11.212.0
Auto0.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
Third
5261
#32
12.72.5
8.010.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End2.8
red by 5.0
2882
#26
7.70.8
5.96.7
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned