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Red27
43288.1
814412.2
930711.5
Blue81
731222.1
62431.4
61809.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47670204060801001202781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+42
Endgame+52
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +32
4Coral scored#10
13Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
17Total teleop49
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points2
27Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8144
#13
12.21.3
16.515.3
Auto2.8
Teleop8.7
End0.7
blue by 19.1
624
#8
31.42.1
28.130.3
Auto7.6
Teleop19.3
End4.5
Second
9307
#20
11.51.4
11.19.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End2.6
blue by 10.6
22.12.3
18.420.7
Auto4.0
Teleop15.9
End2.3
Third
4328
#29
8.11.3
9.48.2
Auto0.8
Teleop5.3
End2.0
blue by 1.2
6180
#19
9.32.1
7.910.0
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned