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Red103
463927.6
147749.0
947817.5
Blue81
837015.0
37284.0
680052.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions946620408012014010381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +12
9Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
18Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +34
18Coral scored#11
63Coral points39
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
81Total teleop47
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#5
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
103Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.01.8
44.146.0
Auto8.8
Teleop34.0
End6.2
blue by 3.7
52.71.5
46.147.7
Auto15.4
Teleop31.7
End5.7
Second
4639
#16
27.61.8
26.528.4
Auto5.9
Teleop20.4
End1.3
red by 12.6
8370
#10
15.01.5
12.914.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.3
End2.2
Third
9478
#21
17.51.8
10.212.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End1.7
red by 13.5
3728
#33
4.01.5
3.34.8
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsMissed