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Red35
59234.8
578814.3
92897.4
Blue53
857617.7
66458.8
817718.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3960020801001203553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+6
Endgame+18
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +3
6Coral scored#6
22Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
30Total teleop33
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
0Foul points0
35Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5788
#22
14.30.9
12.011.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End0.8
blue by 4.3
18.60.6
16.515.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.7
End5.0
Second
9289
#28
7.40.9
11.010.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.7
End0.2
blue by 10.4
17.70.6
17.717.1
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
Third
5923
#24
4.80.9
6.65.6
Auto0.6
Teleop4.0
End0.2
blue by 4.0
6645
#30
8.80.6
12.011.4
Auto0.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned