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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79103204060120140160113113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+26
Endgame+16
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +32
0Leave0
4Coral scored#10
19Coral points51
19Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +6
13Coral scored#12
46Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
60Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#8
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
18Foul points2
113Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#5
45.3
Auto8.6
Teleop31.8
End4.9
blue by 6.4
620
#2
51.7
Auto16.6
Teleop31.9
End3.1
Second
41.8
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End9.8
blue by 1.0
2534
#10
42.7
Auto9.8
Teleop30.3
End2.7
Third
6882
#26
11.2
Auto2.3
Teleop7.2
End1.7
blue by 6.5
4472
#16
17.7
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed