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Qual 112025 CHS District Alexandria VA Event presented by US Department of Energy
Red87
12237.3
632619.6
190834.2
Blue133
219950.9
68638.3
138928.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6810302040608012014016087133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+32
Endgame+40
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +25
7Coral scored#14
24Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
48Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#6
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points6
87Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#6
37.31.3
23.6→24.9
Auto5.5
Teleop22.4
End9.4
blue by 13.6
2199
#1
50.92.3
36.1→38.3
Auto9.7
Teleop30.7
End10.5
Second
1908
#20
34.21.3
23.4→24.7
Auto7.0
Teleop23.6
End3.6
blue by 4.1
686
#14
38.32.3
29.3→31.5
Auto8.1
Teleop28.0
End2.2
Third
6326
#36
19.61.3
20.1→21.5
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End2.9
blue by 8.6
1389
#23
28.22.3
27.8→30.0
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned