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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73892040608010012014041115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+72
Endgame+74
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points13
10Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +63
3Coral scored#11
11Coral points40
1Processor algae#4
0Net algae#4
6Processor points24
0Net points16
6Algae points40
17Total teleop80
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
0Foul points0
41Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.91.6
35.233.6
Auto7.7
Teleop25.7
End7.5
blue by 2.0
5338
#19
42.92.5
35.037.6
Auto6.1
Teleop34.0
End2.7
Second
623
#38
13.11.6
21.620.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.1
End1.8
blue by 17.5
9033
#12
30.52.5
19.522.1
Auto5.6
Teleop20.3
End4.6
Third
2988
#32
7.51.6
7.96.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.0
End2.8
blue by 15.0
2421
#31
22.52.5
22.324.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned