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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453201001504461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points12
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +14
4Coral scored#9
16Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
28Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
44Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3714
#22
20.00.0
11.311.3
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End2.1
blue by 5.3
5549
#21
25.41.6
9.611.3
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End2.2
Second
1446
#27
16.30.0
13.613.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.2
blue by 7.6
23.91.6
12.714.3
Auto4.6
Teleop14.9
End4.4
Third
5587
#33
11.30.0
13.213.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End2.2
red by 0.1
11.21.6
8.810.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed