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Qual 142025 CHS District Alexandria VA Event presented by US Department of Energy
Red131
1067924.7
236334.3
62051.7
Blue113
253442.7
206811.9
188527.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9483050150200131113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+14Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +18
23Coral scored#19
82Coral points70
1Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
6Processor points12
28Net points16
34Algae points28
116Total teleop98
Reef
11L4#8
6L3#4
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#27
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
131Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#2
51.71.5
38.3→39.8
Auto16.6
Teleop31.9
End3.1
red by 9.0
2534
#10
42.70.8
38.0→38.8
Auto9.8
Teleop30.3
End2.7
Second
2363
#8
34.31.5
25.2→26.7
Auto5.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
red by 7.1
1885
#34
27.20.8
23.0→23.8
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End2.2
Third
10679
#30
24.71.5
21.7→23.2
Auto4.0
Teleop17.7
End3.0
red by 12.8
2068
#29
11.90.8
12.8→13.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed