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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90580204080100120140160104100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
10Coral scored#12
37Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
69Total teleop70
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points2
104Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.91.5
38.339.9
Auto9.7
Teleop30.7
End10.5
red by 13.6
122
#6
37.32.7
24.927.6
Auto5.5
Teleop22.4
End9.4
Second
1908
#20
34.21.5
24.726.3
Auto7.0
Teleop23.6
End3.6
red by 8.8
2914
#35
25.42.7
12.315.0
Auto3.4
Teleop18.4
End3.7
Third
3793
#24
22.91.5
17.819.4
Auto4.7
Teleop17.3
End0.9
red by 3.8
9403
#18
19.12.7
20.423.1
Auto3.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned