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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68810204060100120140160130110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+16Teleop
+14Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
17Coral scored#15
62Coral points55
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#7
18Processor points12
28Net points28
46Algae points40
108Total teleop95
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points0
130Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1885
#34
27.22.1
22.724.8
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End2.2
blue by 15.7
5338
#19
42.91.2
40.541.7
Auto6.1
Teleop34.0
End2.7
Second
3793
#24
22.92.1
21.924.0
Auto4.7
Teleop17.3
End0.9
red by 6.6
1446
#27
16.31.2
14.715.9
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.2
Third
2963
#13
16.72.1
17.619.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.2
End1.5
red by 2.0
9684
#37
14.71.7
16.017.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed