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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1143905010015020010183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+24Teleop
+12Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points12
21Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
13Coral scored#10
48Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
70Total teleop55
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points0
101Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#10
42.70.6
44.243.7
Auto9.8
Teleop30.3
End2.7
red by 17.3
2914
#35
25.42.0
19.521.5
Auto3.4
Teleop18.4
End3.7
Second
40.90.6
40.940.3
Auto7.7
Teleop25.7
End7.5
red by 21.1
2186
#17
19.82.0
13.115.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.8
End7.1
Third
4464
#28
11.60.6
12.411.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.8
End1.3
red by 0.3
5587
#33
11.32.0
12.114.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed72%Barge oddsEarned