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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions961026080120140124144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+8Teleop
Endgame+22
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points16
36Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +9
14Coral scored#15
52Coral points53
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#3
12Processor points24
16Net points12
28Algae points36
80Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#6
5L3#5
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
2Foul points0
124Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#2
51.72.3
42.745.1
Auto16.6
Teleop31.9
End3.1
red by 0.8
50.93.0
44.247.2
Auto9.7
Teleop30.7
End10.5
Second
1389
#23
28.22.3
26.128.4
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End4.7
blue by 9.1
122
#6
37.33.0
33.636.6
Auto5.5
Teleop22.4
End9.4
Third
3714
#22
20.02.3
18.520.8
Auto4.9
Teleop13.1
End2.1
blue by 2.5
2421
#31
22.53.0
21.124.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsEarned