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Qual 682025 CHS District Alexandria VA Event presented by US Department of Energy
Red75
83645.3
968414.7
1067924.7
Blue95
138928.2
236334.3
61127.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions869640601201401607595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+14
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +15
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points33
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#6
12Processor points6
4Net points24
16Algae points30
48Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
6Foul points12
75Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#5
45.30.7
39.4→38.7
Auto8.6
Teleop31.8
End4.9
red by 11.0
2363
#8
34.30.3
31.8→31.5
Auto5.0
Teleop23.8
End5.4
Second
10679
#30
24.70.7
24.8→24.1
Auto4.0
Teleop17.7
End3.0
blue by 3.5
1389
#23
28.20.3
28.4→28.1
Auto7.8
Teleop15.7
End4.7
Third
9684
#37
14.70.9
15.4→14.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End-0.7
blue by 12.8
611
#9
27.50.3
26.9→26.6
Auto6.1
Teleop19.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned