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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8478406010012014011256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+36Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +29
14Coral scored#6
51Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
69Total teleop40
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#11
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
112Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#6
37.32.3
36.638.9
Auto5.5
Teleop22.4
End9.4
red by 3.1
1908
#20
34.21.1
32.531.4
Auto7.0
Teleop23.6
End3.6
Second
5549
#21
25.42.3
24.426.7
Auto3.4
Teleop19.8
End2.2
red by 6.3
9403
#18
19.11.1
20.219.1
Auto3.7
Teleop13.1
End2.3
Third
4472
#16
17.72.3
16.618.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.0
red by 1.4
1446
#27
16.31.1
19.518.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed