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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456702060801005635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+7Teleop
+3Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
6Coral scored#5
20Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
32Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
18Foul points0
56Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
#11
22.81.3
10.08.7
Auto3.2
Teleop19.9
End-0.3
blue by 1.1
24.028.1
42.714.6
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End1.7
Second
404
#23
21.91.3
16.515.2
Auto4.2
Teleop16.5
End1.2
red by 8.3
13.55.4
19.914.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Third
2988
#33
5.31.3
14.212.9
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End0.4
blue by 7.4
4472
#26
12.73.2
20.817.5
Auto2.2
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed