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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648720408010012059119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
Endgame+38
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
7Coral scored#11
26Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
40Total teleop51
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
4Foul points26
59Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.8
17.817.0
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End1.7
blue by 15.5
41.81.8
29.631.4
Auto5.7
Teleop30.3
End5.8
Second
614
#17
23.70.8
23.622.8
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End1.7
red by 2.1
1599
#14
21.61.8
27.929.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End5.9
Third
4286
#34
4.10.8
14.914.1
Auto1.6
Teleop1.1
End1.4
blue by 10.7
9214
#19
14.81.8
14.015.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned