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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6789204060801001203388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+43
Endgame+47
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +33
4Coral scored#13
16Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
24Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
4Foul points12
33Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#9
25.43.7
21.417.7
Auto6.3
Teleop17.6
End1.6
blue by 29.3
449
#3
54.70.0
35.835.9
Auto9.0
Teleop43.7
End2.1
Second
6326
#31
21.13.7
26.522.8
Auto3.9
Teleop13.9
End3.4
red by 2.2
339
#22
19.00.0
22.822.8
Auto5.1
Teleop14.4
End-0.5
Third
617
#32DQ
6.93.7
11.37.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.2
End0.9
blue by 7.8
14.70.0
14.514.6
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed