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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986520408012014011557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+46Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +36
16Coral scored#8
59Coral points29
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
73Total teleop37
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
115Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.12.8
33.035.8
Auto7.7
Teleop31.9
End4.5
red by 19.0
6802
#13
25.10.9
25.724.9
Auto3.1
Teleop16.6
End5.4
Second
3373
#10
22.12.8
25.328.1
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End5.9
red by 2.7
1522
#28
19.40.9
17.817.0
Auto1.6
Teleop16.6
End1.2
Third
539
#21
16.02.8
22.925.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 1.8
2998
#18
14.20.9
15.114.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned