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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8489506070801001101206848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+16Teleop
+24Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points3
17Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
6Coral scored#4
21Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
29Total teleop21
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#6
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
8Foul points12
68Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.81.9
37.936.0
Auto14.4
Teleop30.2
End9.1
red by 22.3
5804
#12
31.55.1
37.432.4
Auto3.0
Teleop26.0
End2.5
Second
3361
#25
5.91.9
19.918.0
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.8
blue by 11.7
5724
#24
17.65.1
26.421.3
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Third
4286
#34
4.11.9
16.814.9
Auto1.6
Teleop1.1
End1.4
blue by 10.8
3258
#20
14.85.1
14.79.7
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsEarned