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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80732040601001204530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+13Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +19
9Coral scored#4
33Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
41Total teleop22
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
45Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#12
31.52.9
32.429.4
Auto3.0
Teleop26.0
End2.5
red by 10.1
1262
#29
21.34.1
24.420.3
Auto4.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
Second
9709
#27
15.42.9
19.016.0
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.0
blue by 2.2
5724
#24
17.64.1
21.317.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.9
Third
4505
#30
12.52.9
17.514.5
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
red by 6.7
3361
#25
5.94.1
18.013.9
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed