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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886102040801001201409762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+35Teleop
+37Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +32
18Coral scored#9
64Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
82Total teleop50
Reef
5L4#2
7L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points2
97Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.82.0
31.433.3
Auto5.7
Teleop30.3
End5.8
red by 16.4
346
#9
25.40.1
17.717.6
Auto6.3
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Second
29.52.0
27.329.3
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End1.1
red by 4.4
25.10.1
24.324.1
Auto2.5
Teleop20.4
End2.2
Third
14.72.0
14.616.5
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End1.3
red by 10.6
4286
#34
4.10.1
14.113.9
Auto1.6
Teleop1.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed