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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7534020406010012014011466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+48Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +38
19Coral scored#8
70Coral points28
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
94Total teleop56
Reef
9L4#4
5L3#2
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
114Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.14.4
35.840.2
Auto7.7
Teleop31.9
End4.5
red by 22.3
404
#23
21.91.2
15.216.3
Auto4.2
Teleop16.5
End1.2
Second
540
#11
22.84.4
8.713.2
Auto3.2
Teleop19.9
End-0.3
red by 8.0
3258
#20
14.81.2
9.710.8
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.5
Third
13.54.4
14.619.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.8
red by 6.6
617
#32
6.91.2
7.68.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed