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Red131
173153.8
572417.6
44954.7
Blue48
299814.2
447212.7
53916.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10563020408012014016013148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+73Teleop
+83Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +63
16Coral scored#8
59Coral points28
2Processor algae#0
7Net algae#2
12Processor points0
28Net points8
40Algae points8
99Total teleop36
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points0
131Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#3
54.73.3
35.939.2
Auto9.0
Teleop43.7
End2.1
red by 38.8
539
#21
16.02.6
25.723.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.2
Second
53.83.3
36.039.3
Auto14.4
Teleop30.2
End9.1
red by 39.6
2998
#18
14.22.6
14.311.6
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.0
Third
5724
#24
17.63.3
17.220.5
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.9
red by 4.8
4472
#26
12.72.6
17.514.9
Auto2.2
Teleop8.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed