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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476502040801001204565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+16
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
7Coral scored#12
26Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
36Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
45Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
404
#23
21.90.9
14.914.0
Auto4.2
Teleop16.5
End1.2
blue by 3.5
346
#9
25.40.3
18.919.3
Auto6.3
Teleop17.6
End1.6
Second
2998
#18
14.20.9
13.012.2
Auto2.4
Teleop10.8
End1.0
blue by 4.8
339
#22
19.00.3
13.814.1
Auto5.1
Teleop14.4
End-0.5
Third
4286
#34
4.10.9
10.29.3
Auto1.6
Teleop1.1
End1.4
blue by 9.4
13.50.3
17.317.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed