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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4311701001505197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+42
Endgame+48
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +31
3Leave9
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points28
6Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +11
8Coral scored#12
29Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
43Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
2Foul points0
51Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.6
13.013.6
Auto3.6
Teleop18.7
End1.7
blue by 30.7
449
#3
54.70.3
43.143.4
Auto9.0
Teleop43.7
End2.1
Second
540
#11
22.80.6
11.211.7
Auto3.2
Teleop19.9
End-0.3
blue by 21.3
44.10.3
40.741.0
Auto7.7
Teleop31.9
End4.5
Third
1262
#29
21.30.6
19.820.4
Auto4.2
Teleop15.6
End1.6
red by 6.6
9214
#19
14.80.3
10.310.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed