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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5854203040507080903029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +2
2Coral scored#2
8Coral points8
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
12Total teleop14
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points6
30Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1522
#28
19.42.0
14.312.3
Auto1.6
Teleop16.6
End1.2
blue by 10.1
29.52.7
27.625.0
Auto7.2
Teleop21.3
End1.1
Second
539
#21
16.02.0
19.317.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.2
red by 9.0
617
#32
6.92.7
12.710.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.2
End0.9
Third
14.72.0
14.512.5
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End1.3
red by 8.8
3361
#25
5.92.7
6.74.1
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned