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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555702040801001205133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto3
Teleoperatedlevel
3Coral scored#3
10Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
14Total teleop14
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
5Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
12Foul points0
51Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#14
21.60.9
23.022.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.7
End5.9
blue by 0.6
3373
#10
22.11.9
26.724.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.7
End5.9
Second
3258
#20
14.80.9
11.310.4
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.5
blue by 0.5
9709
#27
15.41.9
12.510.7
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.0
Third
4505
#30
12.50.9
12.411.6
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.8
red by 7.3
2988
#33
5.31.9
10.78.8
Auto1.8
Teleop3.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned